Winner Permutations

The following table will provide you with a chart of all possible outcomes left in the the contest. This is done by calculating every possible combination of wins and losses factoring in the current wins people have already had. The percentage of winning any given place is shown for each player.

The permutations will start to be calculated after HALF of the bowl games have been played.

Note: The asterisk column shows the total chance of being "in the money." (1st-3rd and any extended places)

Note: This calculation is purely probabilistic and not based on statistical odds.
In other words, both the 2nd and 25th ranked teams have the same probabilistic odds of beating the 1st ranked team (50%).

Note: Click on any data point to see the full calculation.


  * 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
    ($) ($) ($)                                                    
Black, John - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 50.0 - - - - - - - - - -
Carroll, Joe - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - 50.0 -
Casey, Jim - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Collier, Curtis - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Collier, Mike 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Collier, Sam 50.0 - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Collier, Jack - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 50.0 - - - - - - -
Delouche, Adam - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Holley, David - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Hull, Bryan - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 50.0 - - - - - -
Jackson, Keith - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Johnson, Eric - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 50.0 - - - - - - - - -
Kujda, Jason - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kujda, Amanda - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - 50.0
LaViolette, Mary - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - -
LaViolette, Dreux - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - 50.0 - - - - - -
LaViolette, Amy - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luck, Roy - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Luck, Celestina - - - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ludlow, Kevin - - - - - 50.0 - - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Mallott, Ben 50.0 - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Muha, Brendan - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.0 - - - - -
Potts, Jim - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - 50.0
Smith, Kyle - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - -
Sullivan, David 50.0 - 50.0 - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Teer, Josh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 100.0 - - - -
Tittle, Chris 100.0 100.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Turner, Dennis - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - - - - 50.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Williams, Chris - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 50.0 - 50.0 -